Description

This analysis provides a forecast of SOL prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-08-31 0.036887 0.040267 0.043687 0.047400 0.051311 0.055301 0.059674
2025-09-07 0.032427 0.037486 0.042785 0.048725 0.055174 0.061938 0.069547
2025-09-14 0.028696 0.034949 0.041705 0.049491 0.058159 0.067458 0.078135
2025-09-21 0.025439 0.032538 0.040432 0.049757 0.060368 0.071972 0.085524
2025-09-28 0.023477 0.031353 0.040332 0.051163 0.063712 0.077648 0.094148
2025-10-05 0.020714 0.028966 0.038624 0.050524 0.064566 0.080397 0.099389
2025-10-12 0.018731 0.027336 0.037649 0.050602 0.066128 0.083864 0.105377
2025-10-19 0.017300 0.026259 0.037232 0.051246 0.068279 0.087955 0.112048
2025-10-26 0.016224 0.025538 0.037173 0.052260 0.070822 0.092473 0.119202
2025-11-02 0.014020 0.023175 0.034913 0.050436 0.069832 0.092734 0.121294
2025-11-09 0.012643 0.021815 0.033844 0.050018 0.070488 0.094902 0.125599
2025-11-16 0.011437 0.020599 0.032886 0.049673 0.071180 0.097073 0.129877
2025-11-23 0.010954 0.020403 0.033297 0.051125 0.074178 0.102125 0.137730
2025-11-30 0.010344 0.019980 0.033370 0.052124 0.076603 0.106492 0.144790
2025-12-07 0.009654 0.019383 0.033169 0.052733 0.078519 0.110234 0.151105
2025-12-14 0.008887 0.018611 0.032677 0.052918 0.079867 0.113260 0.156547
2025-12-21 0.008558 0.018499 0.033104 0.054335 0.082810 0.118284 0.164461
2025-12-28 0.007648 0.017381 0.032027 0.053650 0.082973 0.119797 0.168032
2026-01-04 0.007023 0.016681 0.031521 0.053720 0.084104 0.122517 0.173092
2026-01-11 0.006603 0.016295 0.031454 0.054385 0.086011 0.126216 0.179374
2026-01-18 0.006309 0.016105 0.031668 0.055436 0.088434 0.130578 0.186500
2026-01-25 0.005353 0.014639 0.029858 0.053539 0.086838 0.129749 0.187075
2026-02-01 0.004803 0.013869 0.029087 0.053104 0.087194 0.131415 0.190784